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11月拖拉机数据出炉,1-11月产量45万多台,预计全年50万台

2024-12-21 09:39:53 来源:总站信息处 作者:刘振营 阅读量:771 评论

导读:2024年11月拖拉机总产量3万1897台,与2023年11月产量4万0588台相比,下降21.4%。

  【农机网 市场行情】日前,国家统计局发布2024年11月份规模以上拖拉机生产企业大型、中型、小型拖拉机产量数据。
 
  注:根据国家统计局标准,规模以上是指年主营业务收入2000万元以上;拖拉机是指20马力及以上轮式和履带式拖拉机;小型拖拉机:20-25马力;中型拖拉机:25-100马力;大型拖拉机:100马力及以上。
 
  一、11月份拖拉机产量数据
 
  2024年11月拖拉机总产量3万1897台,与2023年11月产量4万0588台相比,下降21.4%。
 
2024年11月拖拉机产量数据
 
  其中,11月份大型拖拉机产量5605台,中型拖拉机产量15292台,小型拖拉机产量1.1万台。
 
  1-11月拖拉机累计产量:大型拖拉机104813台,中型拖拉机219503台,小型拖拉机12.9万台。前9个月累计生产拖拉机45万3316台,比2023年的49万2561台相比下降8.0%。
 
  1、大型拖拉机产量
 
  根据统计数据显示,2024年11月大型拖拉机累计产量5605台,比去年同期增长-27.9%。9月拖同比由增转降后,11月降幅陡然加大。
 
2024年1-11月大型拖拉机产量数据
 
  1-11月大型拖拉机累计产量104813台,同比增长2.7%。今年以来,累计产量一直保持较高增长,从8月开始增幅逐月有所下降,11月只增长2.7%。
 
  2、中型拖拉机产量
 
  根据统计数据显示,2024年11月中型拖拉机产量15292台,比去年同期增长-30.1%,5月和6月两个月小幅转增后,7月转为较大幅度下降,8月和9月降幅均有所加大,11月降幅陡然加大。
 
2024年1-11月中型拖拉机产量数据
 
  1-11月累计产量219503台,同比增长-13.8%。5月和6月小幅增长,但从7月开始转为较大幅度下降,且降幅逐月增大。
 
  3、小型拖拉机产量
 
  根据统计数据显示,2024年11月小型拖拉机产量1.1万台,8月降为万台以下且降幅创新高,10月由降转增,11月又重回下降。
 
2024年1-11月小型拖拉机产量数据
 
  小型拖拉机1-11月累计产量12.9万台,同比增长-15.7%,今年上半年降幅逐月加大,下半年一直在低位。
 
  二、2024年拖拉机产量预计50万台
 
  2024年1-11月拖拉机产量数据已经出来了,1-11月拖拉机累计产量45.33万台,同比去年下降近3.9万台,说明市场形势比较严峻,特别是11月大中拖降幅都陡然增加,使得拖拉机累计产量降幅比较大。
 
  尽管拖拉机仍处在发展阶段,远远没有达到饱和的程度,相对需求缺口比较大,特别是有些省丘陵山区比较多,以及南方水田省区,拖拉机市场还没有完全启动,但由于国际形势的复杂性以及经济大环境下,中小企业运营不确定性增加,导致一方面小型拖拉机市场持续低迷,另一方面可能是小型拖拉机规模都比较小,有些小规模企业的产量没能进入国家统计数据,因此小型拖拉机下降幅度可能会超预期。
 
  综合以上因素,基本维持上月的预测:2024年拖拉机产量可能在50万台左右,比2023年产量下降8%以上,但产品结构将会有较大变化,大型拖拉机占比将明显提升,小型拖拉机占比继续下降。其中大型拖拉机产量仍维持预计11万多台,比上年略有增长;中型拖拉机产量24万台,预计比上年下降10%以上;小型拖拉机产量14万多台,下降约15%。
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